Two autonomous driving trends: Level 3 for highways and Level 4 for community roads
From Autonomous Vehicle & ADAS Japan 2017
|Autonomous driving for highways and public roads is coming soon|
In May 2017 the Autonomous Vehicle & ADAS Japan 2017 exposition was held in Tokyo. This report will outline a presentation titled "Two major overseas trends that will create a drastic revolution in autonomous vehicles in the future" given at the conference by Tsuguo Nobe, Architect and Director Government Policy & Business Development, Intel K.K. and Visiting Associate Professor of Nagoya University.
According to professor Nobe, there will be two major trends in the development of autonomous driving. First, level 3 autonomous driving on highways will be introduced around 2020, which will be the outcome of continuous innovation on the current development track for Advanced Driver Assistance Systems (ADAS) by the existing automobile industry.
Meanwhile, the technology required for level 4 autonomous driving on community roads has rapidly progressed over the past two years, and is expected to be introduced around the same period in 2020. The response to the demand for vehicles to complete the final leg of a commute, ride sharing, and car sharing is included in this type. Although it will require considerable effort to tackle various obstacles compared with autonomous driving on highways, driving on public roads is becoming increasingly feasible with AI issuing driving inputs thanks to advances in deep learning. Since 3D maps are created for limited areas, less investment is required. Professor Nobe went on to emphasize that rather than legacy automakers, it is IT companies that will generate disruptive innovations.
In the future, it is expected that the pyramid structures of the automotive industry's manufacturing and data driven areas will be united, but service providers and IT companies could achieve prominence over OEMs. E.U. and U.S. OEMs are increasingly moving to become service providers themselves.
U.S. NHTSA: Announcement of guidance for autonomous vehicles (November 2016)
Ford: Aiming to achieve volume production of driverless vehicles in 2021 for ride-sharing (December 2016)