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VW Group (1) Proceeding with Business Restructuring in China and Germany

GlobalData Production Forecast: Fall below 7.5 million units; Rush to launch xEVs

2026/11/05

Summary
GlobalData Production Forecast: Global production to fall below 7.5 million unit; Rush to launch xEVs
Plant utilization rates low in China and Germany
Sales of ICE mainstream models drop sharply in China, while electrified vehicle sales rebound
Structural reforms toward 2030 under the

Summary

The VW Group (Volkswagen AG) continues to see declines in sales and production actuals amid weakening competitiveness in the Chinese market. In the period from January to August 2026, VW sales in China fell 33.8% year-over-year (y/y), while production in China dropped 35.4%, with sluggish sales of core ICE (internal combustion engine) models weighing on overall performance. Conversely, although sales of electrified vehicles are increasing, they have not been enough to offset the decline in ICE vehicle sales. In light of these circumstances, the VW Group announced its “Future Plan.” Under this plan, the company has set out measures such as optimizing production capacity, reducing fixed costs, consolidating its product lineup, and restructuring its China business, and is aiming to restore profitability and competitiveness with a target operating margin of 9% by 2030.

According to GlobalData's forecast, the VW Group's light vehicle production is expected to decline from 7.9 million units in 2026 to around 7.4 million units starting in 2027. Progress in structural reforms and the reorganization of regional manufacturing organizations will determine the mid- to long-term recovery in production and improvement in profitability.

VW Group annual production trends by country (Top 10)
(Source: MarkLines VW Group vehicle production volume dashboard)

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