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User Guide

GlobalData European Passenger Car Sales Update (February 2026)

February growth held back by France; 2026 outlook tempered by energy-market risks

2026/03/09

Summary
Commentary

Summary

In February, results across much of Western Europe were positive, although a sharp contraction in France acted as a significant headwind and weighed on overall regional growth. Sales grew 1.4% YoY to 865k units. The selling rate improved to 12.8 mn units/year. Year-to-date (YTD) sales now stand at 1.7 mn units (-0.7% YoY). In light of recent developments in Iran, which has disrupted energy markets and could intensify inflationary pressures across the region, we have taken a slightly more cautious outlook to the 2026 Western European PV forecast, expecting sales to remain broadly flat this year.
Across most of the five largest Western European markets, sales trends appeared to be more positive than those of January. Italy recorded the strongest growth, due to the MASE incentives and easing inflation, while France recorded the steepest drop, as the market was down nearly 15% YoY, continuing the slowdown that has weighed on the French PV market since mid‑2024.

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