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Sales Promotion Scheme and 2009 Vehicle Sales Forecasts
 
The following is a summary of sales incentive programs in the automobile market initiated by each government and 2009 sales forecasts announced by industry associations and research organizations and so forth in each country. Upon each new announcement, data will be updated accordingly.

 Americas     East Asia  South-East Asia / South Asia / Oceania     Western Europe  Central & Eastern Europe     Others
  

 PC: Passenger Car / LV: Light Vehicle / LCV: Light Commercial Vehicle / CV: Commercial Vehicle
 
  Sales Promotion Scheme 2009 Sales Forecast
    
2008 Result

Category
2009 Forecast
(yr/yr)
Category
Organization (Date of Announcement)

Remark
Global

  
Center for Automotive Research (CAR) 
(August 2009)
CAR announced that a total amount of assistance to the automotive industry by governments in the world reached 164.2 billion dollars in 2009.

Japanese Cabinet Office
(November 30, 2009)
"World Economic Trends," a biannual report issued by the Japanese Cabinet Office, stated that automobile purchase incentive programs that have been offered by governments in various countries have created demand for at least more than 10 million new vehicles throughout the world since the fall of 2008. The estimate is based on the data of cumulative sales figures of new vehicles publicly accessible in each market from the end of 2008 through October 2009 in 15 countries except India and Korea where incentive measures are in effect.
>> Cabinet Office release (Japanese)
n.a.
60 mil.

Carlos Ghosn, CEO of Renault and Nissan (Nov. 8, 2009)

n.a. 57 mil.
Chung Tae-hwan, CFO of Hyundai Motor
(Oct. 22, 2009)
About 60 million in 2010
(+4.6% to 5.0%)
n.a. 50 mil.
LV
Matthias Wissmann, President of the VDA (Sep. 14, 2009)
n.a. 54 mil.
LV
Colin Dodge, Executive Vice-President of Nissan (Jul. 07, 2009)
The global demand for vehicles will not return to a level of 68 to 70 million by 2013.
n.a.(-9%) n.a.(-13%) Moody's (May 26, 2009)
-24% in the U.S. market
n.a.
LV
58.6 mil.
LV
J.D. Power and Associates 
(May 21, 2009)
Revised upward from forecast at 57.5 million in March 2009. Despite still at a historically low level in the U.S., signs of recovery are looming in Europe and Asia.
63.95 mil.
LV
55 mil. (-14%)
LV

Carlos Ghosn, CEO of Nissan
(Jan. 26, 2009)
It will take more than 7 years before returning to the peak of 69 mil. units in 2007.

64 mil.
Light Vehicle
57.5 mil. (-10%)
LV

GM (Jan. 15, 2009)

61.49 mil.
LV
53.8 mil. (-12.5%)
LV

CSM Worldwide (Mar. 12, 2009)

61.7 mil. 
LV
56.81 mil. (-8%)
LV
CSM Worldwide (Jan. 12, 2009)
Year 2010: 60.78 mil.
n.a.
n.a.(-20%)
LV
VW (Jan. 12, 2009)
65 mil.
60 mil.
(-8%)
Hyundai (Dec. 31, 2008)
Global production capacity is estimated at about 90 mil.

Global Sales Figures
Country Sales Promotion Scheme
2008 Result

Category
2009 Forecast
(yr/yr)
Category
Organization (Date of Announcement)

Remark
USA



Car Allowance Rebate System (CARS)
"Cash for Clunkers"
an incentive to stimulate trade-ins for fuel efficient vehicles

President Obama and Democrats in Congress basically agreed on May 5, 2009 to include a "Cash for Clunkers" amendment in the American Clean Energy and Security Act. Car buyers will receive a cash voucher of up to 4,500 dollars for trading in gas-guzzling passenger cars and trucks for fuel efficient vehicles. The incentive program is an act with a limited period of validity for one year, and is expected to encourage trade-ins of around one million vehicles.

The "Cash for Clunkers" passed the House on June 9, 2009. Car owners can get a voucher worth 3,500 dollars if they trade in a vehicle in a vehicle whose original gas mileage was 18 miles per gallon or less for a new vehicle that gets at least 22 mpg. If the mileage of the new car is 10 mpg higher than the old vehicle, the value of the voucher will grow to 4,500 dollars. Total subsidies will amount to 4 billion dollars. The Congressional Budget Office forecasts the bill will help generate sales of 625,000 vehicles.

A "Cash for Clunkers" bill, which is inserted in an emergency war spending bill, passed the Senate on June 18, 2009. A vehicle trade-in program will be put in place within 30 days of signature of the bill by the president. Total amount of subsidies will be 1 billion dollars. However, the duration of the program and the effect of generating demand for new vehicles are likely to end up with a level of about a quarter of the original plan.

President Obama signed into law on June 24, 2009 the supplemental budget bill for the Fiscal Year of 2009, including a government program to encourage replacement of an old car for a new more eco-friendly car, which is officially called " Car Allowance Rebate System (CARS)." A total budget for this program amounts to one billion dollars including administrative expenses up to 50 million dollars. It will be in force for four months from July 1 to November 1, 2009.

>> Car Allowance Rebate System

National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) released the requirements and procedures for CARS program on July 23, 2009. It is involved by 16,000 domestic dealers and funded by the federal budget amounting to about 950 million dollars. Though it will be in effect officially until November 1, it will be scrapped when the budget is used up.
U.S. Transportation Secretary kicked off the CARS program on July 27,2009.
>> NHTSA release

The House voted 316-109 on July 31, 2009 for an emergency measure adding $2 billion to the CARS program, after a burst of demand exhausted most of the initial $1 billion in less than a week.


The Senate voted 60-37 on August 6, 2009 for an emergency measure adding $2 billion to the CARS program. The new funding will extend the program through Labor Day.

President Barack Obama signed legislation giving $2 billion to the CARS on August 7, 2009. The budget is funded by a 780 billion-dollar economic stimulus package officially called "2009 Recovery and Reinvestment Act" that was introduced last February and administered by the Department of Energy.

The U.S. government shut down its CARS program at 8 p.m. on August 24, 2009. Citing an overloaded computer system, the government extended the deadline for auto dealers to 8 p.m. on August 25. The final tally on the CARS program counted 690,114 deals submitted by dealers totaling $2.877 billion, just under the $3 billion set aside by Congress for the plan.

Warranty Commitment Program
White House (March 30, 2009)
The U.S. government, GM and Chrysler established an accounting reserve for providing warranty services on vehicles purchased by customers during the restructuring period. For each vehicle sold, the automaker will contribute 15% of the projected cost in cash, and the government will provide a110% financing, so that there will be enough funds equal to 125% of the expected cost of paying for warranty services.
>> MarkLines Analysis Report

Purchasing of federal fleet from Detroit 3

White House (April 9, 2009)
The General Service Administration will purchase about 17,600 cars for use by the federal government from the Detroit 3. The government will spend about 285 million dollars for the purchase by June 1, 2009.


GSA placed an order with Detroit 3 for 17,205 cars as replacement for the federal fleet in June 2009. They are broken down to 6,348 for GM worth 105 million dollars, 2,933 for Chrysler worth 53 million dollars and 7,924 cars for Ford worth 129 million dollars.
>> GSA Fleet & Automotive

Sales tax deductions for new car purchases
Department of Treasury (June 11, 2009)
For new vehicles purchased after February 16, 2009 and before January 1, 2010, sales tax deductions are available up to 49,500 dollars of the first time purchase price of a new car. Applicable vehicles are passenger cars, light-duty trucks, motor homes, motorcycles. The amount of the deduction is phased out for taxpayers whose modified adjusted gross income is between 125,000 dollars and 135,000 dollars for individual filers and between 250,000 dollars and 260,000 dollars for joint filers.
>> DOT release
13.24 mil.
LV
10.3 mil. (-22%)
LV
Center for Automotive Research (CAR)
(Dec. 15, 2009)
12.4 mil. (+20%) in 2010
13.24 mil.
LV
10.3 mil. (-22%)
LV
Automotive News (Dec. 7, 2009)
13.24 mil.

LV
over 10 mil.
(-24.5%)
LV
GM (Nov. 2009)
11 mil. to 12 mil. in 2010
13.24 mil.
LV
10.1 mil. (-23%)
LV
CSM Worldwide (Oct. 21, 2009)
11.8 million in 2010
13.24 mil.
LV
10.5 mil. (-21%)
LV
Henderson CEO of GM
(Oct. 15, 2009)
11.5 million level in 2010
13.24 mil.
LV
10.3 mil. (-22.2%)
LV
J.D. Power and Associates 
(Aug. 20, 2009)
13.24 mil.
LV
10 mil. (-24.5%)
LV
A.T.Kearney(Jun. 2009)
The total sales in the U.S. will rebound to 16 million in 2012. Restrained demand is likely to pile up to about 8.4 million vehicles by 2015.
13.24 mil.
LV
10 mil. (-24.5%)
LV
J.D. Power and Associates 
(May 21, 2009)
In addition to a downward revision by one million to 10.4 million in March 2009, down by additional 400,000. Retail forecast has been revised downward by 230,000 to as low as 8.3 million. On a seasonally adjusted yearly basis, 9.13 million in February is expected to increase to 9.3 million in May.
13.24 mil.
LV
9.5 mil. (-28%)
LV
IHS Global Insight (May 21, 2009)
Recovery pace will be still slow in 2010 to a level of 11.3 million.
13.24 mil.
LV
9.7 mil. (-28%)
LV
CSM Worldwide (Mar. 10, 2009)
13.24 mil.
LV
10.1 mil. (-24%)
LV
Chrysler (Jan. 25, 2009)
13.24 mil.


LV
10.5 mil. to 
12.5 mil. 
(-21to -8.6%)
LV
Ford (Feb. 26, 2009)
13.24 mil.


LV
12 mil. to
12.5 mil. 
(-9.4 to -8.6%)
LV
Ford (Jan. 24, 2009)
Breakeven point is expected to be reached in 2011 at the latest.
13.24 mil.
LV
12.2 mil. (-8%)
Light Vehicle
Ford (Jan. 05, 2009)
13.24 mil.
LV
10 mil. (-24%)
LV
AutoNation (Jan. 21, 2009)
13.24 mil.

LV
9.5 mil. to 12 mil. 
(-28 to -9%)
LV
GM (Feb. 17, 2009)
13.24 mil.
LV
10.5 mil. (-21%)
LV
GM (Jan. 15, 2009)
13.24 mil.
LV
11.4 mil. (-14%)
LV
J.D. Power and Associates (Jan. 13, 2009)Year 2010: 13.4 mil.
Year 2011: 14.7 mil.
13.24 mil.
LV
11.5 mil. (-13%)
LV
Deutsche Bank (Jan. 13, 2009)
13.40 mil.
(estimate)
LV
11 mil. (-18%)

LV

Goldman Sachs (Nov. 28, 2008)
Year 2010: 13 mil.


Monthly Sales in U.S.A., by make
Canada
.
1.636 mil.
PC & LCV
1.5 mil. over (-9%)
PC & LCV
DesRosiers Automotive Consultants
(Jan. 05, 2009)

Monthly Sales in Canada, by make
Mexico
PRODIAT (Cash for Clunkers Program)
Mexican President Calderon announced on July 15, 2009
At the 7th CIIAM 2009 (International Conference of the Mexican Automobile Industry) the president announced an incentive program to encourage owners of vehicles more than 10 years old to scrap them and purchase new cars with a 150,000 peso subsidy.
The procedures of the vehicle trade-in incentive program were published in the Official Gazette dated July 21 as Type C of the PRODIAT (Development of High Technology Industries) program. Automobile makers qualified to meet the requirements receive subsidies from the government and give customers a discount of 15,000 pesos for each new car purchase. Total budget for subsidies is 500 million pesos applicable to 33,333 vehicles. The system continues to be applied to purchases in November 2009.
Vehicles that are eligible for this program are passenger cars with a maximum seating capacity of 9 persons and cargo vehicles of GVW up to 3.2 tons. However, vehicles imported under the tariff quota system are not eligible. The first 250 million pesos of a total of 500 million pesos earmarked for the subsidies are allocated to automobile makers based on their production figures for four years from 2005 to 2008. The remaining 250 million pesos are granted after automakers, even if one of them, have used up funds allocated in the first installment and total sales of vehicles that are qualified for the discount by all automakers have reached 8,000. The subsidies are offered in the month following the month when total sales of applicable vehicles have reached 8,000, on the basis of discount sales of each maker until the previous month.
A consumer who wishes to scrap an old vehicle shall submit the original invoice of the vehicle to be disposed of and have its registration cancelled by the local authorities. Then, the customer delivers a vehicle to a scrapper, gets paid based on its scrap value and purchases a new vehicle with discount at the dealer.

Relaxation of procedures for Cash for Clunkers Program announced in the Official Gazette (October 9, 2009)
Operating procedures of Cash for Clunkers Program that have been going on since August will be relaxed effective October 10, 2009. The condition that an eligible used vehicle must be more than 10 years old will be eliminated, and an imported used vehicle will be qualified. The amount of the subsidy remains unchanged at 15,000 pesos per vehicle. Furthermore, procedures for receiving subsidies have been simplified, as seen in elimination of the obligation for an owner to cancel registration of the scrapped vehicle.
According to the Mexican Automobile Dealers Association, participating vehicles in the program amounted to 1,273 as of the end of September. The Ministry of Economic Affairs initially projected 8,000 by the end of September. The target until the end of December is set at 33,000 vehicles.


Monthly Sales in Mexico, by make
Brazil


IPI reduction on automobiles
Tax cuts on automobiles were effected by the Treasury Department on January 1, 2009
IPI (tax on industrial products) on automobiles was reduced for three months starting January 1, 2009.

The Treasury Department announced on March 30, 2009 the extension of the tax cuts on automobiles until the end of June 2009.

Treasury Secretary made clear in early June 2009 that the duration of tax cuts will never be re-extended.


Treasury Secretary announced on June 29, 2009 that IPI deductions will be extended for a maximum period until December. Current deductions will continue until the end of September, and be phased out after October to return to normal rates in January 2010.
1,000 cc (normal) 7.0 / (reduced) 0.0
1,000 - 2,000 cc 13.0 / 6.5
(in case of FFV) 11.0 / 5.5
2,000 cc - 25.0
(in case of FFV) 18.0
Truck 5.0 / 0
Light Truck 8.0 / 1.0

Brazillian government announced on September 30, 2009
IPI reduction measures on automobiles ended. The government will return tax rates to normal levels by steps until January 1, 2010.
1,000 cc (rate shown in percentage):
September (0.0%), October (1.5%),
November (3.0%), December (5.0%),
January 2010 (7.0% standard rate)
1,000 cc to 2,000 cc:
September (6.5%), October (8.0%),
November (9.5%), December (11.0%),
January 2010 (13% standard rate)
1,000 cc to 2,000 cc FFV:
September (5.5%), October (6.5%),
November (7.5%), December (9.0%),
January 2010 (11% standard rate)

Treasury Secretary announced on
November 24, 2009
The IPI reduction measures, which are scheduled to end at the end of 2009, will be extended until the end of March 2010 only on FFVs.
- FFV with an engine displacement of up to 1,000 cc: 3% until the end of March
-Between 1,000 cc and 2,000 cc: 7.5% until the end of March
The IPI reduction measures on new trucks at their purchases will be extended to June 2010.
Additional government outlays involved in the extension will be 1.3 billion Real.
n.a.
3.1 mil. (+10.3%)
PC & LCV
ANFAVEA(Dec. 4, 2009)
Forcast to be +9.3% in 2010.
n.a.
3.016 mil.(+5.3%)
PC & LCV
FANABRAVE(Oct. 2009)
n.a.
2.937 mil.(+4.1%)
PC & LCV
Sergio Reze, President of FANABRAVE
(Oct. 2009)
n.a.
2.95 - 3.00 mil. (+4.1 to +6.4%)
PC & LCV
Cledorvino Bellini, CEO of Latin American division of Fiat Auto (Oct. 2009)
n.a.
3.0 mil. (+6.4%)
PC & LCV
ANFAVEA (Associacao Nacional dos Fabricantes de Veiculos Automotores)
(Jul. 6, 2009)
4.85 mil.
PC & CV
4.895 mil. (+0.1%)
PC & CV
FANABRAVE (Federacao Nacional da Distribuicao de Veiculos Automotores)
(Jan. 6, 2009)
A total of passenger cars and light commercial vehicles is forecast to be 2.78 million (+4%).

Monthly Sales in Brazil, by make
Venezuela


.
0.2716 mil.
Domestic and Import products
0.12 mil.
Domestic and Import products
CAVENEZ (Jul. 2009)

Sales in Venezuela, by make
Argentina


.
0.59 mil.

All types
0.45 mil. to 0.5 mil.
(-24 to -15%)
All types
Various press reports (Jan. 15, 2009)

Sales in Argentina, by make
Chile

.
0.24 mil.

excluding trucks
0.13 mil. +/- 5,000
(-45.8%)
excluding trucks
ANAC (Mar. 2009)
Trucks: 6,000 (-58.0%)
0.24 mil.
excluding trucks
0.156 mil. (-35%)
excluding trucks
ANAC (Asociacion Nacional Automotriz de Chile) (Beginning of 2009)
Country Sales Promotion Scheme
2008 Result
Category
2009 Forecast
(yr/yr)
Category
Organization (Date of Announcement)

Remark
Japan

Tax reductions on eco-cars
Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (March 30, 2009)
Acquisition tax and weight-based tax will be reduced on environmentally responsive vehicles. Tax rate deductions will be prescribed depending on the vehicle's emissions and fuel economy performance. Weight and new car acquisition taxes are levied in three classes, 100%, 75% and 50%. Acquisition taxes on used vehicles will be reduced by 1-2.7%, or between 150,000 and 300,000 yen. Tax deductions will continue from April 1, 2009 to April 30, 2012. Acquisition taxes from April 1, 2009 to March 31, 2012. However, the application period for diesel and specified used vehicles will end on March 31, 2010.
>> MLIT release (Japanese)

Rebate for purchase or replacement with eco-friendly vehicles
Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism and Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry (April 27, 2009)
(supported by the supplemental budget announced by the government and ruling parties on April 10, 2009)
When a passenger car older than 13 years is scrapped and replaced with a new car compliant with the 2010 fuel economy standards, a rebate of 250,000 yen is paid for a standard type vehicle, and 125,000 for a mini vehicle.
When a truck or bus older than 13 years is scrapped and replaced with a new vehicle compliant with the "New Long-term Regulations," a subsidy is paid. The subsidy is variable depending on the gross vehicle weight; 400,000 yen for the light duty vehicle in the 3.5-ton class, 800,000 yen for the medium duty vehicle in the 8-ton class and 1.8 million for the heavy duty vehicle in the 12-ton class.
In case of replacement of a vehicle with a shorter life than 13 years, or a new vehicle purchase with no replacement for scrapping, the rebate is prescribed separately. A new vehicle must be owned at least for one year after the purchase. After the supplemental budget for fiscal 2009 passes the Diet, the rebate plan will be made applicable retroactively to vehicles registered or submitted on April 10 and after up to March 31, 2010, or until the budget is exhausted. Vehicles eligible for the rebate system are likely to account for around 60 percent in the total registration.

>> METI release (Japanese)
>> MLIT release (Japanese)
>> MarkLines Analysis Report

With the passage of the supplemental budget for 2009 on May 29, 2009, acceptance of subsidy applications will start on June 19. Subsidies will be retroactive to April 10.
>> METI release (Japanese)
>> MLIT release (Japanese)

MLIT (December 15, 2009)
In the supplementary budget for fiscal 2009, 30.5 billion yen was provided in subsidies for purchases of eco cars.
>> MLIT release (Japanese)

Subsidies for program to promote eco-friendly vehicles (for waste carriers)
Ministry of the Environment announced the program on July 21, 2009
The ministry published a list of operators who are qualified to be awarded with subsidies for introducing eco-friendly vehicles as their waste carriers. The total budget for subsidies will amount to 3.5 billion yen, which are supposed to be appropriated to about 4,650 vehicles.

>> MOE release (Japanese)
5.0822 mil.

4-wheel vehicle
4.6115 mil.
(-9.3%)
4-wheel vehicle
JAMA (Dec. 24, 2009)
4.7984 mil. (+4.1%) in 2010.
>> JAMA release (Japanese)
3.212 mil.
(-6.5%)
excluding mini vehicle
2.906 mil.
(-9.5%)
excluding mini vehicle
JADA (Japan Automobile Dealers Association) (Dec. 1, 2009)
n.a.
1.67 to 1.68 mil.
mini vehicle
Japan Mini Vehicles Association
(Dec. 1, 2009)
n.a.
n.a.
Toyota (Nov. 9, 2009) 
2.75 mil. in 2010, excluding mini passenger vehicles.
5.112 mil.
(estimate)
4-wheel vehicle including mini vehicle
4.86 mil.
(-4.9%)
4-wheel vehicle including mini vehicle
JAMA (Japan Automobile Manufacturers Association) (Dec. 18, 2008) 
New car excluding Mini Vehicle: 
3.007 mil. (-6.9%)
Mini Vehicle: 
1.853 mil. (-1.6%)

Monthly Sales in Japan, by make
China

Automobile industry readjustment and revitalization plan
The General Office of the State Council (March 20, 2009)
Includes the following items:
- Consolidate major auto groups
- Increase a share of independent branded vehicles
- Mass produce new energy powered vehicles
- Develop original technologies for key components
- Reduce purchasing taxes on passenger cars with engines 1.6 liters or less
- Encourage sales in rural areas
- Subsidize trade-ins
- Rearrange or eliminate restrictions on vehicle purchases
- Put in place the auto loan system
- Put in place the used car market
- Others
>> PRC gov. release (Chinese)
>> MarkLines Analysis Report

Tax reductions on vehicles with small displacement engines

The Ministry of Finance (January 16, 2009)
The purchase tax on passenger cars with engines below 1.6 liters will be cut from the current 10% to 5%, applicable to vehicles purchased from January 20 through December 31, 2009.

Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (August 2009)
The Ministry is discussing a future tax break plan after the current system expires at the end of 2009. A new plan is likely to broaden reduction levels, including 0 percent import duties on vehicles with displacement under 1.4 liters. Furthermore, new incentives will likely be expanded to purchases of new energy and green vehicles.


The State Council Decision
(December 9, 2009)
The purchase tax deduction on passenger cars with an engine capacity of up to 1,600cc will be extended until the end of 2010. But, the tax rate will be raised from 5% to 7.5%.

Subsidies for purchasing vehicles in rural areas

Ministry of Finance and the National Development and Reform Commission (March 16, 2009)
Subsidies totaling about 5 billion yuan are provided for purchases of automobiles and motorcycles in farming areas.

Ministry of Finance and the National Development and Reform Commission (June 10, 2009)
In addition, subsidies for light duty and mini trucks with gross vehicle weight of under 1.8 tons will become available up to one vehicle per house. For mini trucks without trade-ins, subsidies equivalent to 10 percent of the purchase price will become available up to 5,000 yuan.

>> PRC gov. release (Chinese)
>> MOF release (Chinese)

The State Council Decision
(December 9, 2009)
The program to provide subsidies to car purchases in rural areas will be extended until the end of 2010. Subsidies for motorcycle purchases will continue until January 1, 2013.

Trade-in encouraging program
A plan to implement a program to spur domestic demand for automobiles and household appliances (replacing old products by purchasing new products) that was submitted by related government ministries including Finance, Commerce, Industry and Information Technology, and Environment was approved by the State Council on June 1. 2009. Subsidies provided by the government for scrappage or replacement of old vehicles will be increased from the previous 1 billion to 5 billion yuan in 2009.
When scrapping or replacing a domestic model manufactured before 1996 or an import manufactured before 1998 of mid-, light- and mini-type trucks or some of medium-duty buses that have been used for a certain period, a subsidy will be provided for the purchase of a similar new model. Subsidy standards proposed by the central government are 6,000 yuan for a medium-duty truck, 5,000 yuan for a light-duty bus, 4,000 yuan for a light-duty bus and 3,000 yuan for a minivan. Regional governments will adjust subsidy levels depending on a model, length of use, city regulations and so forth.

The Ministry of Commerce and other government agencies announced on July 14 the procedures to implement a program to encourage trade-in of automobiles and household electric appliances. When a designated used commercial vehicle is traded in for a new vehicle, a subsidy ranging from 3,000 to 6,000 yuan is offered during the period from June 1, 2009 through May 31, 2010. A total of 5 billion yuan will be funded for automobile trade-in subsidies. The Ministry of Commerce predicts a package of vehicle sales incentive programs will contribute to scrappage of 2.7 million vehicles in 2009 and reduction in fuel consumption by 5 to 10 percent per vehicle as a result of trade-ins of old, less fuel efficient models.

>> MOFCOM release (Chinese)

Ministries of Commerce/Finance/Environment Protection
(August 2009)
The ministries jointly announced a total of 7.5 billion yuan will be funded from central and local governments as subsidies for replacing old vehicles and household electric appliances with new ones.


The State Council Decision
(December 9, 2009)
The subsidy per each trade-in vehicle will be raised to 5,000 to 18,000 yuan.

Promoting use of new energy vehicles
Ministry of Finance (January 24, 2009)
Use of new energy vehicles like electric and hybrid vehicles will be promoted in 13 cities nationwide.


Finance Ministry and the National Development and Reform Commission (February 17, 2009)
The Ministry of Finance will provide subsidies for purchase of a total of 60,000 cars for official use for four years.

The Ministry of Finance unveiled on June 25, 2009 the policy to spend 20 billion yuan by 2012 to step up measures to promote new energy vehicles like offering subsidies for new car purchases and constructing car recharging infrastructure by 2012. Ministry of Industry and Information Technology promulgated "Management rules certifying  new energy automobile manufacturers and related products," which are to be in force from July 1, 2009.
>> MIIT release (Chinese)

The State Council Decision
(December 9, 2009)
In order to promote use of new energy vehicles, the number of the model city for the program will be increased from 13 to 20. Furthermore, in five cities a pilot program will be introduced to offer subsidies to individual customers for purchases of energy saving or new energy vehicles
9.38 mil.

incl. CV
over 13 mil.
(+ 38.6%)
incl. CV
Dong Yang, Executive Vice-president of CAAM (Dec. 2009)
9.38 mil.
incl. CV
13 mil.(+ 38.6%)
incl. CV
CAAM (Nov. 2009)
Expected to grow 10% in 2010
9.38 mil.
incl. CV
13 mil.(+ 38.6%)
incl. CV
Ren Yong, Vice President of Dongfeng Motor (Oct. 20, 2009)
9.38 mil.

incl. CV
over 12 mil.
(+ 27.9%)
incl. CV
CAAM (Oct. 13, 2009)
9.38 mil.
incl. CV
12 mil.(+27.9%)
incl. CV
Chen Bin, Chief Director of the Industry Coordination Dept., National Development and Reform Commission
(Sep. 5, 2009)
9.38 mil.

incl. CV
11.5 to 12 mil.
(+22.6 to 27.9%)
incl. CV
Kevin Wale, President of GM China
(Sep. 2, 2009)
9.38 mil.
incl. CV
10 mil. (+6.6%)
incl. CV
China Machinery Industry Federation
(Jul. 15, 2009)
The first phase of the development of the automotive industry is targeted at a sustainable 10 percent growth for three consecutive years, establishment of 2 to 3 automakers with an annual production capacity of 2 million vehicles and expansion of Chinese own brand models, as well as a 10 percent share of exports. The second phase target is keeping a growth rate of around 7 percent for 10 years in a row and production of 20 million vehicles a year by 2020.
9.38 mil.
incl. CV
11 mil. (+17%)
incl. CV
CAAM (Jul. 2009)
9.38 mil.
incl. CV
11 mil. (+17%)
incl. CV
Association of China Passenger Vehicle Market Information (Jun. 2009)
9.38 mil.
incl. CV
10.2 mil. (+8.7%)
incl. CV
CAAM (May 12, 2009)
PC: 7.45 mil. (+10.2%)
CV: 2.75 mil. (+5.0%)
9.38 mil.
incl. CV
10.2 mil. (+8.7%)
incl. CV
Dong Yang, Executive Vice-president of CAAM (Apr. 09, 2009)
6.155 mil.
Passenger Car
6.463 mil. (+5%)
Passenger Car
Association of China Passenger Vehicle Market Information (Jan. 24, 2009)
9.38 mil.
incl. CV
9.85 mil. (+5%)
incl. CV
Dong Yang, Executive Vice-president of CAAM (China Association of Automobile Manufacturers) 
(Jan. 15, 2009)
9.38 mil.
incl. CV
9.41 mil. (+0.3%)
incl. CV
State Information Center
(Beginning of 2009)
n.a.
(+9 to 10%)
incl. CV
Feng Fei, Head of Research Department of Industrial Economy, 
The Development Research Center of the State Council (DRC) 
(mid- Dec, 2008)
9.5 mil.
(Estimate)
incl. CV
10.45 mil.
(about +10%)
incl. CV
Xu Changming, Head of Information Resources Dept., 
State Information Center 
(Dec. 02, 2008)
28 thou.
Hong Kong
new car market
19.6 thou. (-30%)
Hong Kong
new car market
Hui Ying Bun,
Dah Chong Hong 
(Trading Co. of CITIC Pacific Group)
(May 21, 2009)

Monthly Sales in China, by make
Taiwan

Freight tax exemption for new car purchase
The tax exemption was approved by the Legislative Yuan, Finance Committee on January 5, 2009. The legislature discussed the proposal to revise the freight tax, and determined to provide the freight tax exemption to purchasers, who buy a new vehicle by the end of 2009. Freight tax of 30,000 yuan will be exempted for automobiles with engine displacement under 2,000 cc, including compact buses and trucks, and 3,000 yuan for motorcycles.

Taiwan Transportation Vehicle Manufacturers Association (July 29, 2009)
Cheng Guorong, Chairman of Taiwan Transportation Vehicle Manufacturers Association, announced its request to the government for extension of the freight tax incentive by longer than one year at least until after 2010. The association is aiming to get approval for the extension by the Legislative Yuan by the end of 2009.

Request for extension of freight tax exemption opposed by Finance Ministry in Taiwan (October 15, 2009)
Finance Minister in Taiwan expressed opposition to the request by a legislator of the National Party at the finance committee for a one-year extension of the freight tax exemption on automobiles and motorcycles citing a great impact on a shortfall of the tax revenue. The Ministry of Economic Affairs had in the past agreed to a request for one-year extension from the Taiwanese Automobile Industry Association.

Industrial development policy for environmental vehicles
The exemption was announced by the Legislative Yuan on May 15, 2009. A revised freight tax legislation passed the Legislature. The current 15 percent freight tax will be exempt for the next five years when purchasing an eco-friendly bus like hybrid, natural gas, low-floor bus. It was also decided for the Ministry of Economic Affairs and the Ministry of Finance to submit a proposal to cut import duties on bus related components by half within one month.

The Ministry of Economic Affairs (Jul. 2009)
The Ministry of Economic Affairs is considering exemptions on cargo and license plate taxes for purchasers of electric vehicles including hybrids, plug-in hybrids and battery electric vehicles. However, due to objections from the Ministry of Finance saying the current exemption measures are enough, the Ministry is bringing the matter to judgment of the Executive Yuan.

Legislative Yuan (Nov. 2009)
When a new hybrid or LPG vehicle is purchased during the next five years, its freight tax of 25,000 yuan will be exempted. Government outlays by this action will be 27.3 million yuan a year and 136.5 million yuan in total in five years. Following the revision of related laws, the bill will be proposed at the Legislative Yuan. After it is finally approved at the legislature, it will be put into force.
A purchaser of a hybrid can receive a grant totaling 50,000 yuan, in addition to a 25,000 yuan subsidy by the environmental protection agency. When an owner converts his or her own car into a hybrid version, he can get only the subsidy from the environmental agency.

Legislative Yuan (November 11, 2009)
A revised freight tax bill passed the first discussion. It is aimed at deducting the freight tax on electric vehicles for five years and extend its exemption for another five years depending on the situation. A subsidy per vehicle ranges from 100,000 yuan to 500,000 yuan, with a total amount expected to exceed 5 billion yuan. Sales within the region and exports are targeted at 65,000 a year and the industry output is targeted at the level of 200 billion yuan.

The Ministry of Economic Affairs (Dec. 2009)
As a step to promote the electric vehicle industry (part of the electric vehicle promotion program), the Ministry of Economic Affairs has proposed a bill to provide a subsidy of up to 500,000 yuan per vehicle. During the first three years, ten locations will be designated as model areas with 300 vehicles allocated at each location. The bill will also promote purchasing of electric vehicles by public organizations and public transportation systems. This subsidy program will develop to a higher level offering a subsidy to purchasers, deduction of freight tax and registration tax, as well as discounts at the time of purchase and no-interest loans.

Reduction of import duties on auto parts by half
Finance Ministry National Tariff Commission (May 25, 2009)
Import duties on 23 items of auto parts, which currently range from 2.5% to 15%, will be cut by 50 percent for a limited period from May 25, 2009 through the end of the year.
n.a. 0.25mil. Hotai Motor (Toyota's sales agent) (Jul. 2009)
n.a. over 0.23 mil. Hotai Motor (Toyota's sales agent) (Jun. 2009)
n.a. 0.24 mil. Ford Lio Ho (Jun. 2009)
Revised 10% upward from the initial forecast.


Monthly Sales in Taiwan, by make

Korea

 

Tax incentives for replacing automobiles
Ministry of Strategy and Finance (April 12, 2009)
In case of transfer or scrap of a vehicle registered before December 31, 1999, 70 percent of individual consumption, acquisition and registration taxes will be deducted up to 2.5 million won (maximum 1.5 million won on consumption tax and maximum 1 million won on acquisition and registration taxes) during the period from May 1, 2009 through December 31, 2009.

The Ministry hinted on June 1 the possibility of terminating the tax incentive program to spur replacement of old vehicles in September ahead of the original schedule, if the automobile industry is not making its own efforts for survival, given a recent movement by the Ssangyong union for an all-out strike as well as determination by the Hyundai and Kia unions for a joint struggle against restructuring. The government will conduct a comprehensive assessment of restructuring efforts by the automobile industry until the regular session of the Congress reconvenes in September and seek report on whether or not the tax incentives should be terminated earlier.

Ministry of Strategy and Finance 
(September 2009)

The Ministry indicated a policy that tax incentives should be continued until the end of 2009 as originally planned.


Tax reductions on hybrid vehicles

The Ministry of Strategy and Finance (April 30, 2009)
The government will cut taxes for a hybrid vehicle including used to be delivered or imported from July 2009. The individual consumption tax will be cut by up to 1 million won, the acquisition tax up to 400,000 won, the registration tax up to 1 million and other taxes including education up to 391,000 won and the value-added tax up to 130,000 won.

The Ministry of Knowledge Economy (June 29, 2009)

Tax deductions of up to 3.1 million won per vehicle will take effect as of July 1, 2009. Models eligible for tax incentives must have more than 50 percent better fuel economy than an average mileage of general vehicles, and a rated voltage of batteries as driving power source must be over 60-volt.

Tax deductions for environmentally-friendly vehicles
Ministry of knowledge Economy (June 10, 2009)
Tax deductions up to 3.1 million won will be available for environmentally-friendly vehicles that have more than 50 percent better fuel efficiency than an average of general vehicles. The individual consumption tax will be cut by up to 1 million won, the education tax up to 300,000 won, the acquisition tax up to 400,000 won, the registration tax up to 1 million won and so on. Fuel efficiency standard of eligible gasoline-engine vehicles will be over 25.5km/L for a vehicle with an engine displacement of under 1,000 cc, over 20.6km/L between 1,000 and 1,600 cc, over 16.8km/L between 1,600 cc and 2,000 cc, and over 14km/L over 2,000 cc. Deductions will be available from July 1 to the end of December 2009.

Exemption of environmental improvement charge on mini vehicles

Ministry of knowledge Economy (May 4, 2009)
The environmental improvement charge will be exempt for purchase of mini vehicles. When purchasing and registering mini vehicles conforming to the "Euro4" standards, the environmental improvement charge will be exempted for four years from the second half of 2009, while those conforming to the "Euro5" for five years.

Reduction in individual consumption tax on passenger cars

The individual consumption tax on vehicle purchases will be deducted 30 percent tentatively until the end of June 2009. For domestic production models, the tax deduction rate will be equal to 5 percent of the factory delivered price including an industry standard profit margin, sales and administration expenses and other costs for cars with under 2,000 cc displacement, and 10 percent for cars with over 2,000 cc.

The Ministry of Strategy and Finance announced the tax reduction on May 14, 2009. The individual consumption tax on passenger cars with an engine displacement exceeding 2,000 cc, which currently stands at 10%, will be reduced by 1% per year after the U.S.-Korean Free Trade Agreement takes effect ultimately to 5%, equal to the current 5% on vehicles with an engine displacement under 2,000 cc.
The proposal for revision is scheduled to be brought to the extraordinary session of the Congress. The bill to ratify the agreement has passed the standing committee and waiting for the full congress voting.

Obligation to purchase local development securities to be abolished
Ministry of Public Administration and Security announced on September 14, 2009 that an obligation by purchasers of eco-vehicles to purchase local development bonds will be abolished as of October 1, 2009, which has been applied to areas other than Seoul, Pusan and Daegu.

n.a.

1.37 mil. (+18.7%) KAMA (Dec. 2, 2009)
1.4 mil. (+2.2%) in 2010

n.a.

1.39 mil. Korea Automotive Research Institute (KARI)
(Oct. 2009)

1.41 mil. (+1.4%) in 2010

1.145 mil.

1.05 mil. (-8.3%) KAMA (Korea Automobile Manufacturers Association) (Dec. 16, 2008)

Monthly Sales in Korea, by make
Country Sales Promotion Scheme
2008 Result
Category
2009 Forecast
(yr/yr)
Category
Organization (Date of Announcement)

Remark
Thailand



Reduction of excise tax on eco-friendly vehicles
The excise tax on E20 compliant vehicles (running on 20 percent ethanol mixed fuel) was reduced by 5 percent, effective January 2008. The tax on E85 compliant vehicles was also reduced to the same level as on E20 compliant vehicles in June 2008. The excise tax rate for eco-cars with an engine displacement under 1,300cc is lower than E20 vehicles.

Special loan for purchasers of natural gas engine wagons
Ministry of Finance in Thailand announced on July 27, 2009
The Bangkok Mass Transit Authority has agreed with the Small and Medium Enterprise Development Bank of Thailand (SME Bank) to offer special loans totaling one billion baht to purchasers of natural gas powered wagons used for transit buses. Applications for special financing will be accepted within this year. Down payment will be over 5 percent of the purchase price at interest rates ranging from 4.75 percent to 6.75 percent depending on the amount of the down payment on an 8-year repayment schedule. If a vehicle under the current contract is converted to a natural gas version, BMTA will extend the contract period from 1-3 years to 10 years.
0.615 mil.
PC & CV
over 0.52 mil.
PC & CV
TMT (Dec. 2009)
n.a.
n.a.
Thai Automotive Industry Association (TAIA) (Nov. 2009)
5% growth in 2010
0.615 mil.

PC & CV
0.50 - 0.52 mil.
(-18.7 to -15%)
PC & CV
Automotive Industry Club, The Federation of Thai Industries (FTI) (Oct. 2009)
0.615 mil.
PC & CV
0.48 mil. (-22%)
PC & CV
Toyota Motor Thailand (TMT)
(Jul. 17, 2009)
PC: 202,000 (-10.9%)
CV: 278,000 (-28.4%)
0.615 mil.
PC & CV
0.434 mil. (-29%)
PC & CV
Frost & Sullivan (Jul. 2009)
PC: 195,000 (-14%)
Pickup Truck: 226,000 (-32%)
0.615 mil.
PC & CV
0.52 mil. (-15%)
PC & CV
Toyota Motor Thailand (TMT)
(Jan. 16, 2009)
PC: 205,000 (-9%)
CV: 315,000 (-19%)

Monthly Sales in Thailand, by make
Malaysia



Auto industry assistance program
The Ministry of Finance announced on March 10, 2009 to infuse 200 million ringgit to the Automotive Development Fund. When a consumer purchases a new car by trading in a car more than 10 years old, the purchaser gets a discount of 5,000 ringgit from the new car price.

Proton Holdings (Jul. 2009)
The government has an intention of ending the domestic car purchase incentive program at the end of the year. The incentive program included in the second economic stimulus package, which was announced on March 10, stipulates that an owner of a domestic production used car is qualified to receive a voucher when scrapping the used car and to receive a 5,000 ringgit for the purchase of a new car. Many of used car owners, however, are not enthusiastic about using the program, considering their old cars are valued at more than 10,000 rinngit. Furthermore, since a new system designed to prevent used car dealers from abusing the incentive package was introduced as of April 15, the number of consumers to use the program declined drastically. According to Proton, vouchers for 11,800 vehicles have been issued as of July.
0.548 mil. 
PC & CV
over 0.5 mil.
PC & CV

MAA(Jul. 2009)
Abdul Halim Bin Harun, MD&CEO of UMW Holdings

0.548 mil. 
PC & CV
0.5 mil. (-8.6%)
PC & CV

MAA(Jul. 23, 2009)
The result of first half 2009:
251,092 units(-9.7%)

0.548 mil. 
PC & CV
0.501 mil. (-8.6%)
PC & CV
Frost & Sullivan Malaysia 
(Jul. 15, 2009)
Sales of passenger cars were 12 percent down in the first half. It will be 4 to 5 percent down in the second half, with a 6.8 percent down for the whole year.
0.548 mil. 
PC & CV
0.48 mil. (-12.4%)
PC & CV
Malaysian Automotive Association (MAA)
(Jan. 21, 2009)
PC: 436,800 (-12.2%)
CV: 43,200 (-14.7%)
0.545 mil. 
(estimate)
0.502 mil. (-8.1%)
Frost & Sullivan Malaysia 
(Jan. 07, 2009)

Monthly Sales in Malaysia, by make
Indonesia
Import duty exemption on auto parts
Ministry of Industry (Jul. 2009)
A total duty exemption budget for the auto industry is 795.2 billion rupiah. As of July, 53 companies applied for the exemption totalling 207.9 billion rupiah. Among them, 37 companies received the certificate, which amounts to a total of 184.72 billion rupiah.
0.608 mil.
PC & CV
0.48 mil. (-21%)
PC & CV
Mr Freddy August Sutrisno, Secretary General of GAIKINDO (Dec. 2009)
Sales of 0.6 million (+25%) are projected in 2010, pending postponement of proposed increases in luxury tax.
0.608 mil.
PC & CV
n.a.
Mr. Bambang, President of GAIKINDO
(Dec. 2009)

0.56 million in 2010.
0.608 mil.
PC & CV
0.48 mil. (-21%)
PC & CV
Ministry of Industry (Jun. 2009)
Revised upward from the original forecast of 420,000 (-30%)
0.608 mil.


PC & CV
0.424 mil. to 
0.45 mil.
(-30 to -26%)
PC & CV
Mr. Bambang, President of GAIKINDO
(Jun. 2009)
Sales in the 1st quarter were about 100,000. An increase of 5% from the 1st quarter is forecast for the 2nd quarter.
The sales in the first quarter will be about 100,000, and sales in the second quarter will increase 5 percent.
In the roadmap up to 2015, sales are expected to grow steadily during the 5 years from 2009 to 2014 to 540,000, 650,000, 720,000, 820,000 and 950,000 respectively up to over one million in 2015. Also forecasting the ASEAN market to reach 4 to 5 million during the 2015 to 2020 period, he aims to achieve the sales of 1.5 million in the domestic market.
0.608 mil.


PC & CV
0.40 mil. to 
0.45 mil.
(-34 to -26%)
PC & CV
Mr. Bambang, President of GAIKINDO(Indonesian Automotive Industry Association) (May 25, 2009)
Rebound in the automobile market is forecast to come after 2010, at a slow pace of around 5%.
0.608 mil.


PC & CV
0.35 mil. to 
0.40 mil.
(-42 to -34%)
PC & CV
PT. Toyota Astra Motor (Jan. 21, 2009)
Philippines
 
0.124 mil.
0.125 mil
(+0.8%)
Elizabeth Lee, President of CAMPI
(Sep. 2009)
0.124 mil.
0.127 mil. to 
0.129 mil. 
(+2 to 4%)
CAMPI (The Chamber of Automotive Manufacturers of the Philippines, Inc.)
(Jan. 20, 2009)
Vietnam
Reduction of import duties on auto parts
Ministry of Finance (March 9, 2009)
Import duties on auto parts will be reduced by 2-5 percent.

Revised specilal consumption tax
Since April 1, 2009, special consumption tax rates on vehicles with a seating capacity of 9 or under have been revised to be based on engine displacement as 45% under 2,000 cc, 50% between 2,000 cc and 3,000 cc and 60% over 3,000 cc. In the past they were classified based on the number of seats as 15% for 16 to 24-seater, 30% for 6 to 24-seater and 50% for 5 or less seater.
In the case of hybrids, when the percentage of gasoline use is under 70%, a special advantageous rate, which is 30% lower than normal, is applied.

New car registration fee reduced
Since May 2009, the new car registration fee has been temporarily lowered from the previous 10 to 12 percent to 5 percent.
0.112 mil.
PC & CV
0.114 mil. (+1.7%)
PC & CV
VAMA (Sep. 10, 2009)
0.112 mil.
PC & CV
Domestically assembled by 16 VAMA members 
0.088 mil. (-20%)
PC & CV

Domestically assembled by 16 VAMA members 
VAMA (Vietnam Automobile Manufacturers Association) 
(Jan. 15, 2009) 
Forecast at minus 30% for foreign-affiliated automakers only
Singapore

Green Vehicle Rebates
In case of registration of compressed natural gas, electric and hybrid vehicles, 40 percent of the vehicle's Open Market Value is refunded for passenger cars. In addition, the additional registration fee is exempt. Refunding rates for buses, taxis and commercial vehicles are prescribed separately. Diesel vehicles are also separately prescribed. The rebate system has been revised from time to time since it was first introduced in January 2001.


Monthly Sales in Singapore, by make

India



Reduction of excise tax
National Planning Commission (December 7, 2008)
As part of the economic stimulus package, excise taxes on manufactured goods will be levied temporarily at 4 percent across the board.


The Ministry of Finance announced on February 24, 2009 to reduce excise and service taxes by 2 percent each as an additional stimulus measure.

The Minister of Finance announced on July 6, 2009 to cut the excise tax on SUVs with an engine displacement above 2,000 cc from the previous 20,000 rupee to 15,000 rupee. The excise tax on vehicles with a displacement ranging from 1,500 cc to 1,999 cc will remain unchanged at 15,000 rupee. The tax on gasoline engine trucks will also be reduced from 20 percent to 8 percent.
n.a. n.a. Ernst & Young (Jun. 2009)
Sales of passenger cars in India will increase from the current 1.89 million including 1.55 million domestic and MPVs by 12 percent per year for the next 5 years to almost double to 3.75 million including 2.75 million by 2014.

PC: 
1.5519 mil.
CV: 
0.3841 mil.
2-wheel: 
7.4377 mil.
FY 2008
(Apr. 2008 to Mar. 2009)

PC: 
(+3
5%)
CV: 
(+7
10%)
2-wheel: 
(0 to +5%)
FY 2009
(Apr. 2009 to 
Mar. 2010)
SIAM (Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers) (Apr. 2009)

Monthly Sales in India, by make

Monthly Passenger Car Sales in India, by make

Australia



Business investment tax break
Since December 2008, the Business Tax Break has been introduced to investment of a certain amount of business investment including the purchase of a vehicle for business use, and has been reinforced in two stages as follows.
- When a small business invests more than 1,000 Australian dollars excluding tax until December 30, 2009, its expenses can be deducted by 50 percent.
- When other than small businesses invest more than 10,000 Australian dollars excluding tax until June 30, 2009, their expense can be deducted by 30 percent , and 10 percent when they invest until December 30, 2009.

1.012 mil.
PC & CV
0.88 mil. (-13%)
PC & CV
FCAI (Federal Chamber of Automotive Industries) (Jan. 06, 2009)

Monthly Sales in Australia, by make
Country Sales Promotion Scheme
2008 Result
Category
2009 Forecast
(yr/yr)
Category
Organization (Date of Announcement)

Remark
Europe

 

 
n.a.
(-20%)
LV
Mr. Carlos Ghosn, chairman of ACEA (European Automobile Manufacturers' Association) (Mar. 04, 2009)
n.a.
12.5 mil. to 
13.5 mil. 
LV
Ford (Feb. 26, 2009)
Germany


Scrapping Bonus
When replacing a vehicle that is nine or more than nine years old with an environmentally friendly new vehicle, the purchaser is qualified to receive a subsidy of 2,500 euros per unit. The incentive is applicable to 600,000 vehicles with a total of 1.5 billion euros, which became effective on January 14, 2009.
>> MarkLines Analysis Report

A total amount of scrapping bonuses will be increased from 1.5 billion euros to 5 billion euros, the government announced on April 8, 2009.

Press secretary Ulrich Wilhelm said on August 24 that there is no plan for expanding the scale of assistance in the car trade-in scheme, nor substituting the program.

The Federal Office of Economics and Export Control (Bafa) (September 2, 2009)
Bafa completed acceptance of applications for the scrap-bonus program, because the budget totaling 5 billion euros for the incentive had been used up. Bafa indicated it will make a waiting list of 15,000 applications, in case some people who have already applied for the program withdraw their applications afterwards.
>> Bafa release

Subsidies for purchasing electric vehicles
German government (August 19, 2009)
The German government decided at the cabinet meeting the National Development Plan on Electromobility to deploy one million electric vehicles nationwide by 2020. The plan includes assistance by the government in developing batteries and establishing a domestic infrastructure for electricity charging, as well as offering a 5,000- euro per vehicle rebate for up to 100,000 purchasers of new electric vehicles by 2012 under a new incentive scheme to encourage purchases of electric vehicles.

Program to assist introduction of hybrid buses

Ministry of Environment (December 10, 2009)
The Federal Environment Ministry announced a subsidy program totaling 20 million euros to promote introduction of hybrid buses to public transportation systems. Transport operators are eligible for subsidies when they purchase more than ten hybrid buses by the end of 2010.
3.09 mil. 3.80 mil. (+23%) VDIK (Dec. 17, 2009)
2.8 mil. - 2.9 mil. in 2010.
3.09 mil. 3.75 mil. (+21%) VDIK (Nov. 2009)
n.a. 3.70 mil. VDA (Nov. 2009)
n.a. 3.50 mil. (+10%) VDA (Jul. 2009)
3.09 mil. 3.45 mil. (+12%) VDIK (Jun. 2009)
3.09 mil.
(estimate)
PC
2.90 mil. (-6%)

PC
VDIK(Verband der Internationalen Kraftfahrzeughersteller) (Dec. 18, 2008)
Without an effective assistance program from the government to the passenger car market, the number is not expected to exceed 2.9 million.

Monthly Sales in Germany, by make
France
Scrappage Incentive
(called "Prime a la casse")

When scrapping a vehicle older than ten years and purchasing a new vehicle with CO2 emissions below 160g/km, a purchaser can receive a subsidy of 1,000 euros per unit. A total amount of incentives will be 220 million euros.
Besides, a total of one billion euros in loans will be provided for financial operations of automakers.
The incentive effective in March 2009.
>> MarkLines Analysis Report

Minister of Industry expressed on July 13, 2009 an intention of phasing out the incentive program for new car purchase.

Minister of Economic Affairs has announced on September 1, 2009 that the scheme will be extended for two additional years.

Minister of Economic Stimulus Actions announced on November 18, 2009
The scrap incentive program called "Prima a la casse" will continue in 2010, as well. However, the subsidy amount per vehicle will be tapered to 700 euros in the first half of 2010 and to 500 euros in the second half, with 240 million euros budgeted for continuation of the program.
The program has been used for more than 500,000 purchases, exceeding 220,000 cases on which the government budget is based. It is expected to be used by 600,000 new car purchasers by the end of 2009. Among new vehicles purchased by use of the program, those with CO2 emissions of less than 120g/km account for two-thirds.

Green taxation
Registration tax for new vehicles with CO2 emissions below 130g/km is deducted by 200 to 1,000 euros depending on average emissions by model, while in case of emissions above 161g/km, tax will be increased by 200 to 2,600 euros. An electric vehicle will get a discount of 5,000 euros.
When purchasing a new vehicle by scrapping a vehicle after use for more than 15 years, the registration tax will be discounted by 300 euros.
The reduced taxation scheme became applicable to purchases starting on December 5, 2007, and the extra taxation scheme starting in January 2008.

Bonus for purchasing of green cars
President Sarkozy September 10, 2009
The president said France will introduce a "Clean Car Program" offering a 5,000-euro bonus per car to consumers who will purchase environmentally friendly cars. The details will be announced by Ecology Minister on September 23. The government plans to spend a total of 400 million euros to assist sales of eco-friendly vehicles within the next four years.
2.541 mil.
(estimate)
PC & CV
2.276 mil. (-10%)

PC & CV
CSM Worldwide (Nov. 25, 2008)

Monthly Sales in France, by make
UK


Vehicle scrappage incentive scheme
UK Chancellor of the Exchequer (April 22, 2009)
A total of 2,000 pounds (1,000 pounds from the government and 1,000 pounds from the relevant car manufacturer) is offered to a customer when replacing a 10-year old or older car with a new car.
A new car, not necessarily an eco-friendly car, eligible for this scheme shall be;
1) A passenger car or light commercial van with gross vehicle weight of up to 3.5 tons
2) Registered on or after May 18, 2009.
3) First registered in the UK and no owner existed before the claimant.
A scrapped vehicle eligible for this scheme shall be;
1) A passenger car or light commercial van with GVW of up to 3.5 tons.
2) First registered in the UK on or before August 31, 1999.
3) Currently registered in the UK or holding a Statutory Off-Road Notification (SORN).
4) Owned by the registered keeper for at least one year and the name must match the one on the V55 form
5) A UK address is mentioned in the registration certificate (V5C).
6) Fully MOT'd, taxed and insured.
Relevant MOT certificate, V5C and ID must be submitted to a dealer.

The scheme went into effect on May 18, 2009 participated initially by 39 manufacturers. New car orders must be placed during the period from April 23, 2009 to February 28, 2010. The scheme will run until the 300 million funds are used up. Up to 300,000 vehicles are expected be applied for the scheme.
>> SMMT release

Secretary of Business Innovation & Skills (September 28, 2009)
The Secretary announced an increase of 100 million pounds to the vehicle scrappage scheme to fund for a further 100,000 vehicles from an original 300 million budget for 300,000 vehicles. Despite a boost in the budget, the scheme is coming to an end on February 28, 2010 as originally scheduled. However, the age qualification for scrappage commercial vehicles not exceeding 3.5 tons will be shortened to 8 years from over ten years. The qualification for cars will be extended to those registered on or before February 29, 2000.
>> BIS release

Incentives for purchasing low emission level vehicles
UK government (April 16, 2009)
A subsidy ranging from 2,000 to 5,000 pounds per car will be provided to a purchaser of an electric or plug-in hybrid electric vehicle starting in 2011.
2.132 mil.

PC
1.928 mil.
+ 0.05 mil.
PC
SMMT (Dec. 04, 2009)
2.132 mil.
PC
1.928 mil. (-9.5%)
PC
SMMT (Oct. 25, 2009)
1.78 mil. (-10%) in 2010
1.86 mil. (+5%) in 2011
2.132 mil.
PC
1.72 mil. (-19%)
PC
SMMT (Society of Motor Manufacturers and Traders) (Feb. 05, 2009)
2.642 mil.
(estimate)
PC & CV
2.042 mil. (-17%)

PC & CV
CSM Worldwide (Nov. 25, 2008)

Monthly Sales in UK, by make
Italy

Eco-Incentives
The Italian government introduced its eco-incentives on February 11, 2009. Eligibility conditions for the incentive program to encourage switching to eco-friendly models, which was in force from 2007 to 2008, and subsidies (800 euros in 2008) will be expanded.
When buying a new Euro 4-5 vehicle by scrapping an Euro 0-2 vehicle that was registered on and before December 31, 1999, 1,500 euros will be discounted from the new car purchase price for a car and 2,500 euros for a commercial vehicle with GVW below 3.5 tons.
When buying an eco car driven by natural gas, LPG, electricity or hydrogen (no replacement needed), a discount ranging from 1,500 to 3,500 euros is provided to a car and a discount ranging from 1,500 to 4,000 euros to a commercial vehicle below 3.5 tons depending on energy source or CO2 emissions volume.
In addition, when converting a gasoline or diesel engine vehicle to a natural gas or LPG vehicle, 500 to 650 euros will be subsidized, and when buying a new motorcycle, 500 euros will be provided as an incentive.
The program will be applicable until the end of 2009. The deadline for the new car registration is March 31, 2010.
>> ANFIA release
>> MarkLines Analysis Report

Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi said on September 30, that Italy is ready to extend vehicle buying incentives to help the auto industry beyond the end of this year if necessary.

Industry Minister Claudio Scajola said on 7th December 2009, that Italy will extend incentives to buy less-polluting cars and appliances.
2.16 mil.
PC
n.a.
UNRAE (Dec. 2009)
Prediction of sales in 2010
1.8 million if the government incentives do not continue.
2.1 million if the incentives are extended.
2.16 mil.
PC
2.16 mil. (0.0%)
PC
CSP(Centro Studi Promotor)
(Dec. 2009)
2.16 mil.
PC
2.04 mil. (-5.6%)
PC
Sergio Marchionne, Fiat CEO
(Sep. 30, 2009)
2.16 mil.
PC
2.16 mil. (0.0%)
PC
Ministry of Industry (Jul. 8, 2009)
2.16 mil.

PC
2.0 mil. to 2.1 mil.
(-7.4 to -2.8%)
PC
ANFIA (Associazione Nazionale Fra Industrie Automobilistiche)
(May 6, 2009)
2.16 mil.

PC
less than 1.85 mil.
(-14%)
PC
UNRAE (Unione Nazionale Rappresentanti Autoveicoli Esteri)
(Feb. 2, 2009)
2.14 mil.
(estimate)
PC
1.85 mil. (-14%)

PC
Promotor (Dec. 2, 2008)
2.37 mil.
(estimate)
PC & CV
2.074 mil. (-13%)

PC & CV
CSM Worldwide (Nov. 25, 2008)

Monthly Sales in Italy, by make
Spain

Vehicle purchase assistance program "Plan 2000E"
Ministry of Industry, Tourism and Trade
(May 18, 2009)
When an individual customer, a private business owner or a medium and small-sized enterprise is purchasing a new vehicle priced under 30,000 euros, the buyer receives a subsidy of 1,500 euros per vehicle, out of which 500 euros are contributed by the government and 1,000 euros by a relevant carmaker. In case of a used vehicle, only 500 euros are subsidized without contribution from the manufacturer.
In the three provinces of Aragon, Asturias and Cantabria, the province adds 500 euros, making the total 2,000 euros per vehicle. The program is budgeted at 100 million euros applicable to a total of 200,000 vehicles or a limited period of one year.

Ministry of Industry, Tourism and Trade (October 2009)
The Ministry announced the extension of the vehicle purchase incentive program "Plan 2000E" until the end of 2009. An extended subsidy fund will amount to 40 million euros covering 80,000 vehicles. The program is planned to continue in 2010 as well.
1.161 mil. 
PC
0.9 mil. (-23%)
PC
ANFAC (Jan. 28, 2009)
1.161 mil. 

PC
less than 1.0 mil. 
(-14%)
PC
ANFAC (Asociación Española de Fabricantes de Automóviles y Camiones)(Jan. 6, 2009)

Monthly Sales in Spain, by make
Ireland


VRT deduction on ecocars
An electric vehicle is exempt from VRT (Vehicle Registration Tax) and a plug-in hybrid gets a deduction of up to 2,500 euros.

Minister for Finance (December 9, 2009)
VRT reduction scheme for electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles will be extended to the end of 2012.

Car scrappage scheme
 
Minister for Finance (December 9, 2009)
An incentive program to support new car purchases by scrapping old vehicles will be introduced from January 2010 for one year. In case of trading in a car that has been registered for more than ten years for purchasing a new car, the vehicle registration tax is reduced to up to 1,500 euros.

Monthly Sales in Ireland, by make
Finland


 
0.14 mil. 
(estimate)
PC
0.092 mil. (-23%)

PC
Finnish Information Center of the Automobile Sector (Jan. 16, 2009)
0.12 mil. forecast as of the summer of 2008

Monthly Sales in Finland, by make
Country Sales Promotion Scheme
2008 Result
Category
2009 Forecast
(yr/yr)
Category
Organization (Date of Announcement)

Remark
Turkey
Reduction in special consumption tax on automobiles
Introduced by the Turkish government on March 16, 2009. The special consumption tax (OTV) on automobiles is reduced from 37 percent to 18 percent for automobiles up to 1,600 cc, and from 60 percent to 40 percent for automobiles between 1,600 and 2,000 cc.
Tax deductions are in force for a limited period until June 15, 2009.

According to the Turkish Official Gazette 27260(2009/15081), the deduction period of the special consumption tax (OTV) on automobiles will be extended to September 30, 2009. To be eligible for extension, products with higher domestic content are treated preferentially, and product items are limited and their deduction ratios are trimmed as well. Passenger cars with an engine displacement of under 1,600 cc receive a 27 percent deduction, while those with maximum loading capacity of over 850 kg and displacement of under 2,800 cc receive only 3 percent.

The Turkish Government
(September 30, 2009)
The OTV reduction measures ended.

Monthly Sales in Turkey, by make
Russia

Interest subsidy on car loans for domestic production models
RF Government Resolution No. 244 (March 19, 2009)
When purchasing certain domestic production vehicles priced under 350,000 rubles with a 30 percent down payment, the purchaser will receive a subsidy from the government for two thirds of the policy interest rate for the remaining value of the vehicle.
Russia's Ministry of Industry and Commerce unveiled a list of total 29 models eligible for the subsidy program in February. They are 22 models of AvtoVAZ Lada series, UAZ Hunter and 6 models of the foreign brands, which include Chevrolet Niva, Fiat Albea, Ford Focus, Kia Spectra, Renault Logan and Skoda Fabia. The subsidy scheme went into effect on April 1, 2009. A total budget of 2 billion a year is said to cover only 100,000 vehicles, giving rise to a request for budget increase.
>> MarkLines Analysis Report

The Russian Federal Government raised in July 2009 the upper limit of a vehicle price from 350,000 rubles to 600,000 rubles. It is also considering lowering the minimum amount of the initial down payment from 30 percent to 15 percent.

Incentives for trade-ins of vehicles

The Ministry of Natural Resources and Environment (June 16, 2009)
It had proposed to the government a measure to offer a special voucher valued up to 50,000 rubles for purchasing a domestic production vehicle or an environmentally friendly fuel saving vehicle in replacement of a scrapped vehicle. The measure also includes incentives for scrappage like mandatory scrapping, simplification of scrapping procedures and mandatory notification for elimination of the vehicle registration.

The Ministry of Economic Development and Trade (August 2009)
The government is planning to introduce an incentive program to support the automobile industry by offering a voucher of 50,000 rubles per vehicle to each owner who is scrapping a used car registered more than ten years to buy a new car. The program applies to purchases of vehicles assembled in the country, including foreign brand models. The government is expecting the offer will generate replacement demand for 200,000 vehicles.

Government support including purchases of cars for official use
Ministry of Industry and Trade announced in October 2009 direct official assistance to the automobile industry amounted to a total of 101.9 billion rubles, which include 42.5 billion rubles (37.5 billion rubles already executed) in purchases of official use cars, 29.4 billion rubles in state guarantees (19.8 billion rubles for the GAZ Group, 4.6 billion rubles for KAMAZ and 5 billion rubles for Sollers)

Subsidy for vehicle transportation to the Russian Far East
RF Government Resolution No. 194 (March 4, 2009)
Railway transportation costs of Russian domestic production vehicles to the Russian Far East are subsidized (by way of subsidy to the Russian Railways). A list of vehicle models eligible for the subsidy was posted on the Russian newspaper dated March 11, 2009. The scheme went into effect on March 11, 2009 with a budget up to 2 billion rubles.

The Industry and Commerce Ministry recommended on May 13, 2009 to the government to expand the application of eligible models to commercial vehicles and micro buses. If expanded, 5,000 vehicles per year are likely to be transported under the scheme.

Reference: The program to exemplify transportation costs was introduced as an alternative for raising import duties on used vehicles.
Increases in import duties on automobiles
RF Government Resolution No. 903 (December 5, 2008)
Passenger cars: On new cars the current 25% will be raised to 30%. On used cars older than 5 years after production tariffs based on cylinder displacement will be applied, and raised by about 80% from the current duties on those older than 7 years. On used cars between 3 and 5 years old the current duty of 25% will be raised to 35%.
Commercial vehicles including trucks: On new vehicles the duty will be raised by 2 and half times to 25%. On used vehicles older than 5 years after production tariffs will be doubled per displacement, compared with the current duties on those older than 7 years. On other vehicles the current duty of 15% will be raised to 25%.
Buses: On new vehicles the tariffs will be raised to 25% from the current 10 or 20%. However, buses compatible with the emissions standards of the "Class 4" or certain required specifications will be exempt from duties. On used vehicles older than 5 years the current duty on those over 7 years old will be applied. On other types of buses, the rate will be raised from the current 20% to 25%.
The revised duties will be applicable for 9 months starting January 12, 2009.
The revision is a measure to protect the domestic automobile industry. However, in the far east market where Japanese made used are prevailing, a massive protest is being staged against the tariff hikes.
>> MarkLines Analysis Report

Federal government (August 2009)
The government intends to extend the validity of interim 30 percent import duties on new passenger cars even after a previously planned deadline elapses on September 1, 2009, citing the measure is helping automobile demand shift toward domestic assembly vehicles and contributing to keeping employment in the domestic automobile industry at a certain level.

Foreign Trade Protection and Tariff Policy Committee (August 19, 2009)
The Committee approved to extend the period of raising import tariffs, which was set to continue for 9 months from January 12, 2009 until October 11, for another 9 months until July 2010. Pending the final decision by Prime Minister Putin, the extension is to take effect.
The Committee has also made following proposals to the government as well.
(1) To reduce tariffs on automated stamping equipment for vehicle body production to zero.
(2) To raise the tariff on the navigation equipment by use of the direction monitoring system like GPS from the current 5 percent to 25 percent, presumably in an attempt to promote use of GLONASS that was developed during the era of the Soviet Union.

Industry and Trade Minister
(October 9, 2009)
The Ministry decided to extend the validity period of increased import duties on cars for another nine months. Higher duties were to be effective for nine months starting on January 12, 2009. The government is also considering applying new technological standards to imported vehicles and prohibiting import of vehicles with no 17-digit vehicle identification numbers showing the year of production and other data. While this prohibition will not affect imports of left-hand models with 17-digit numbers, it will represent a total ban on imports of right-hand models like Japanese, which have only 11-digit numbers.
n.a.
about 1.4 mil.
(-60%)
Victor Khristenko, the Head of Ministry of Industry and Trade(Oct. 14, 2009)
n.a.
1.3 to 1.6 mil.
(-60 to -50%)
Sum of imported and locally made new vehicles and used models
PricewaterhouseCoopers
(Jul. 21, 2009)
The 55% decline brought total sales to 743,000 cars for the first half of 2009,
including 345,000 imported vehicles, 190,000 locally made foreign models, 200,000 Russian models and 8,000 used foreign models.
2.93 mil.
Sum of Importing and Domestic Assy.
1.70 mil. (-42%)
Sum of Importing and Domestic Assy.
Association of European Businesses 
(Apr. 08, 2009)
2.93 mil.
Sum of Importing and Domestic Assy.
2.37 mil. (-19%)
Sum of Importing and Domestic Assy.
Association of European Businesses
(Jan. 16, 2009)
2.00 mil.
(estimate)
Foreign Brand, 
Sum of Importing and Domestic Assy.
1.30 mil. (-35%)

Foreign Brand, Sum of Importing and Domestic Assy.
Interfax (Jan. 15, 2009)

Monthly Sales in Russia, by make
Czech
Expanded VAT reimbursement
Put into effect by the Ministry of Finance on April 1, 2009. VAT refund was in the past limited to purchases of trucks and company cars by corporate and private owners. The imbursement application will be expanded to new car purchases of passenger cars for company cars, as well. A whole refund of 19% VAT will be limited to a vehicle only for business use. If a company car is used by an employee for a private use as well, the VAT applicable to private use of the car will be levied.
Monthly Sales in Czech Republic, by make

Hungary


 
0.159 mil.
PC
0.12 mil. (-24%)
PC
MGE (Magyar Gepjarmuimportorok Egyesulete) (Jan. 14, 2009)

Monthly Sales in Hungary, by make
Romania


RABLA program
(Cash for clunkers program)

A subsidy of about 900 euros for one purchase of new vehicles in replacement of more than 10 year old passenger cars including imports is provided by the government for up to 60,000 cars. The cash for clunkers program, which has been introduced as an economic stimulus plan since March 2009, is widening the scope of its application by stages, because the limit has not yet been reached. While purchases only by cash or bank loan were eligible in the first phase up to the end of May, leasing became also eligible during the second phase from June 1 to August 31. During the third phase from September 1 to December 11, sales to corporate buyers became qualified in addition to sales to individual customers, Out of 60,000 cars, 50,000 are allocated to individuals and 10,000 to corporations. The incentive for corporations is to continue until 2011.
n.a.
0.14 mil.
PC & CV
APIA (Asociatia Producatorilor si Importatorilor de Automobile)
(Sep. 2009)

Monthly Sales in Romania, by make
Country Sales Promotion Scheme
2008 Result
Category
2009 Forecast
(yr/yr)
Category
Organization (Date of Announcement)

Remark
South
Africa



 
0.533 mil.
All types
0.383 mil.(-28.1%)
All types
NAAMSA (Nov. 9, 2009)
0.417 mil. units in 2010
0.459 mil. units in 2011
>>> NAAMSA release
0.533 mil.
All types
0.388 mil.(-27.2%)
All types
NAAMSA (Aug. 11, 2009)
0.423 mil. units in 2010
0.465 mil. units in 2011
>>> NAAMSA release
0.533 mil.
All types
0.420 mil.(-21.2%)
All types
NAAMSA (May 15, 2009)
0.467 mil. units in 2010
0.513 mil. units in 2011
>>> NAAMSA release
0.533 mil.
All types
0.448 mil.(-15.9%)
All types
NAAMSA (Mar. 6, 2009)
0.533 mil. units in 2010
0.606 mil. units in 2011
>>> NAAMSA release
0.533 mil.
All types
0.5 mil. (-6.2%)
All types
NAAMSA (National Association of Automobile Manufactures of South Africa)
(Jan. 09, 2009)
PC: 305,500 (-7.2%)
LCV: 160,000 (-5.6%) 
Mid-Heavy Truck & Bus: 34,500 (-0.5%)

Monthly Sales in South Africa, by make

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